Picks for September 17, 2026

Heating up. Not charting yet.

Ten titles a day with demand behind them and no spot on a Top 10 in Australia.

Today’s picks

1
It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia
2005 · TV show
- Lands Sep 21 on Disney+.
- Demand 69, building.
- Score up 3.5 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
38/100
+3.5 today
2
Below Deck Mediterranean
2016 · TV show
- Lands Sep 21.
- Demand 46, building.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
28/100
-5.1 today
3
The Simpsons
1989 · TV show
- Lands Sep 27 on Disney+.
- Demand 43, building.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
29/100
-6.4 today
4
Futurama
1999 · TV show
- Lands Sep 21 on Disney+.
- Demand 41, building.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
31/100
-4.4 today
5
R.J. Decker
2026 · TV show
- Lands Sep 22 on Disney+.
- Demand 41, building.
- Score up 3.7 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
39/100
+3.7 today
6
Hope
2026 · Movie
- Demand 74, building.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
41/100
-0.5 today
7
Runner
2026 · Movie
- Demand 73, building.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
38/100
+0.5 today
8
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
2026 · Movie
- Demand 65, building.
- Score up 2.6 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
40/100
+2.6 today
9
The Odyssey
2026 · Movie
- Demand 58, building.
- Score up 4.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
40/100
+4.2 today
10
Coyote vs. Acme
2026 · Movie
- Demand 51, building.
- Score up 3.7 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Waiting on charts
36/100
+3.7 today

Track record

	Charted in 14 days	In 30 days	Median lead	All eligible, 14 days	All eligible, 30 days
All picks	22% 44 of 200	32.5% 13 of 40	7 days	8.1% 225 of 2789	16% 37 of 231
TV shows	35% 35 of 100	50% 10 of 20	8 days	8.2% 169 of 2051	17.3% 28 of 162
Movies	9% 9 of 100	15% 3 of 20	5 days	7.6% 56 of 738	13% 9 of 69
Random from pool	6% 12 of 200	7.5% 3 of 40	6 days	8.1% 225 of 2789	16% 37 of 231

Picks from August 15, 2026 to September 3, 2026, 14-day windows closed. The 30-day columns cover the older picks whose 30-day window has closed too. Two baselines: ten random titles a day from the same pool, and the whole pool. We have to beat both. Movies chart weeks after people start looking, so judge TV and movies apart.

How a title gets here

A pick is on zero Top 10 charts here, has demand of 40 or more from at least two feeds (or one feed plus attention), has been on the list more than a day, and has been off the charts for 30 days. Every eligible title is measured the same way, so the pool column is a fair baseline. A title that is already out on none of the services we track, with nothing scheduled, is left out. Titles landing on a service within 14 days come first. Then shows rank by demand level and movies by score change, fading titles last, and we hold five slots each for movies and shows. Every pick is logged the day we make it, along with ten random titles from the same pool as a control. If a pick charts within 30 days, the chart and date show up next to it. The 14-day rate is the headline. The 30-day rate is for movies, which land on a service weeks after people start looking.

By market

Market	Picks	Charted in 14 days	Random from pool	Whole pool
Worldwide	200	29.5%	11.5%	17.8%
Australia	200	22%	6%	8.1%
Canada	200	22%	4%	9.4%
Germany	200	25.5%	7%	8.9%
Spain	200	8.5%	1.5%	3.7%
France	200	23%	6%	9.1%
United Kingdom	200	27.5%	7%	8.9%
Italy	200	11%	7%	5.4%
South Korea	200	0.5%	0%	1.1%
Mexico	200	10%	2.5%	4.6%
Netherlands	200	11.5%	5.5%	5.1%
Turkey	200	0%	0%	0.3%
United States	200	32%	8%	11.5%
South Africa	200	2%	2%	1.7%

Closed windows only. Markets with no closed picks are not listed.

View this data in the API

GET /v1/trending/breakouts?scope=AU