Picks for August 17, 2026

Heating up. Not charting yet.

Ten titles a day with demand behind them and no spot on a Top 10 in Australia.

Picks for August 17, 2026

1
Lanterns
2026 · TV show
- Demand 96 of 100.
- Score up 26.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Charted 1 day later, HBO Max AU, #1 on August 18, 2026. Peak #1, 30 chart days
55/100
+26.2 today
2
Alone
2015 · TV show
- Demand 77, building.
- Score up 4.7 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
45/100
+4.7 today
3
Normal
2026 · Movie
- Demand 73, building.
- Score up 11.1 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
40/100
+11.1 today
4
The Odyssey
2026 · Movie
- Demand 72, building.
- Score up 1.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
40/100
+1.4 today
5
Sugar
2024 · TV show
- Demand 71, building.
- Score up 2.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
37/100
+2.4 today
6
The Rivals of Amziah King
2026 · Movie
- Demand 69, building.
- Score up 16.0 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
40/100
+16.0 today
7
Below Deck Down Under
2022 · TV show
- Demand 65, building.
- Score up 7.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
39/100
+7.2 today
8
THE GHOST IN THE SHELL
2026 · TV show
- Demand 64, building.
- Score up 1.3 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
34/100
+1.3 today
9
The Sheep Detectives
2026 · Movie
- Demand 54, building.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
32/100
-1.0 today
10
Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die
2026 · Movie
- Demand 50, building.
- Score up 9.9 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
33/100
+9.9 today

Track record

	Charted in 14 days	In 30 days	Median lead	All eligible, 14 days	All eligible, 30 days
All picks	20.9% 46 of 220	31.7% 19 of 60	7 days	7.8% 243 of 3099	14% 70 of 501
TV shows	33.6% 37 of 110	53.3% 16 of 30	7 days	8% 182 of 2281	15.7% 58 of 369
Movies	8.2% 9 of 110	10% 3 of 30	5 days	7.5% 61 of 818	9.1% 12 of 132
Random from pool	5.5% 12 of 220	10% 6 of 60	6 days	7.8% 243 of 3099	14% 70 of 501

Picks from August 15, 2026 to September 5, 2026, 14-day windows closed. The 30-day columns cover the older picks whose 30-day window has closed too. Two baselines: ten random titles a day from the same pool, and the whole pool. We have to beat both. Movies chart weeks after people start looking, so judge TV and movies apart.

How a title gets here

A pick is on zero Top 10 charts here, has demand of 40 or more from at least two feeds (or one feed plus attention), has been on the list more than a day, and has been off the charts for 30 days. Every eligible title is measured the same way, so the pool column is a fair baseline. A title that is already out on none of the services we track, with nothing scheduled, is left out. Titles landing on a service within 14 days come first. Then shows rank by demand level and movies by score change, fading titles last, and we hold five slots each for movies and shows. Every pick is logged the day we make it, along with ten random titles from the same pool as a control. If a pick charts within 30 days, the chart and date show up next to it. The 14-day rate is the headline. The 30-day rate is for movies, which land on a service weeks after people start looking.

By market

Market	Picks	Charted in 14 days	Random from pool	Whole pool
Worldwide	220	29.1%	12.3%	17.7%
Australia	220	20.9%	5.5%	7.8%
Canada	220	20.9%	4.5%	9.2%
Germany	220	24.5%	6.4%	8.8%
Spain	220	8.2%	1.4%	3.6%
France	220	21.8%	5.9%	8.8%
United Kingdom	220	25.9%	6.4%	8.7%
Italy	220	10.5%	6.4%	5.2%
South Korea	220	0.9%	0.5%	1.1%
Mexico	220	10%	2.7%	4.5%
Netherlands	220	10.9%	5.5%	4.9%
Turkey	210	0%	0%	0.3%
United States	220	31.4%	8.2%	11.3%
South Africa	210	1.9%	1.9%	1.6%

Closed windows only. Markets with no closed picks are not listed.

View this data in the API

GET /v1/trending/breakouts?scope=AU