Picks for August 25, 2026

Heating up. Not charting yet.

Ten titles a day with demand behind them and no spot on a Top 10 in Australia.

Picks for August 25, 2026

1
Ted Lasso
2020 · TV show
- Demand 97 of 100.
- Score up 5.1 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Charted 11 days later, Apple TV+ AU, #2 on September 5, 2026. Peak #1, 15 chart days
48/100
+5.1 today
2
Lucky
2026 · TV show
- Demand 87 of 100.
- Score up 4.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Charted 11 days later, Apple TV+ AU, #7 on September 5, 2026. Peak #5, 15 chart days
45/100
+4.2 today
3
Silo
2023 · TV show
- Demand 82 of 100.
- Score up 2.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
Charted 11 days later, Apple TV+ AU, #1 on September 5, 2026. Peak #1, 15 chart days
42/100
+2.4 today
4
Below Deck Mediterranean
2016 · TV show
- Demand 76, building.
- Score up 2.3 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
48/100
+2.3 today
5
Game of Thrones
2011 · TV show
- Demand 74, building.
- Score up 8.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
42/100
+8.4 today
6
Motor City
2026 · Movie
- Demand 58, building.
- Score up 14.6 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
40/100
+14.6 today
7
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare
2024 · Movie
- Demand 51, building.
- Score up 7.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
34/100
+7.2 today
8
Thunderbolts*
2025 · Movie
- Demand 49, building.
- Score up 11.5 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
37/100
+11.5 today
9
Shelter
2026 · Movie
- Demand 45, building.
- Score up 15.0 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
37/100
+15.0 today
10
Leviticus
2026 · Movie
- Demand 42, building.
- Score up 8.6 today.
- On no Top 10 in Australia.
No chart in 14 days
32/100
+8.6 today

Track record

	Charted in 14 days	In 30 days	Median lead	All eligible, 14 days	All eligible, 30 days
All picks	21.9% 46 of 210	34% 17 of 50	7 days	8.2% 241 of 2948	15.1% 54 of 357
TV shows	35.2% 37 of 105	56% 14 of 25	7 days	8.3% 181 of 2169	16.7% 43 of 257
Movies	8.6% 9 of 105	12% 3 of 25	5 days	7.7% 60 of 779	11% 11 of 100
Random from pool	5.7% 12 of 210	8% 4 of 50	6 days	8.2% 241 of 2948	15.1% 54 of 357

Picks from August 15, 2026 to September 4, 2026, 14-day windows closed. The 30-day columns cover the older picks whose 30-day window has closed too. Two baselines: ten random titles a day from the same pool, and the whole pool. We have to beat both. Movies chart weeks after people start looking, so judge TV and movies apart.

How a title gets here

A pick is on zero Top 10 charts here, has demand of 40 or more from at least two feeds (or one feed plus attention), has been on the list more than a day, and has been off the charts for 30 days. Every eligible title is measured the same way, so the pool column is a fair baseline. A title that is already out on none of the services we track, with nothing scheduled, is left out. Titles landing on a service within 14 days come first. Then shows rank by demand level and movies by score change, fading titles last, and we hold five slots each for movies and shows. Every pick is logged the day we make it, along with ten random titles from the same pool as a control. If a pick charts within 30 days, the chart and date show up next to it. The 14-day rate is the headline. The 30-day rate is for movies, which land on a service weeks after people start looking.

By market

Market	Picks	Charted in 14 days	Random from pool	Whole pool
Worldwide	210	29%	12.9%	17.8%
Australia	210	21.9%	5.7%	8.2%
Canada	210	21.9%	3.8%	9.6%
Germany	210	25.2%	6.7%	9.1%
Spain	210	8.6%	1.4%	3.7%
France	210	22.9%	6.2%	9.2%
United Kingdom	210	27.1%	6.7%	9%
Italy	210	11%	6.7%	5.4%
South Korea	210	0.5%	0%	1.1%
Mexico	210	10%	2.9%	4.6%
Netherlands	210	11.4%	5.7%	5.1%
Turkey	210	0%	0%	0.3%
United States	210	32.4%	8.6%	11.7%
South Africa	210	1.9%	1.9%	1.6%

Closed windows only. Markets with no closed picks are not listed.

View this data in the API

GET /v1/trending/breakouts?scope=AU