Picks for August 18, 2026

Heating up. Not charting yet.

Ten titles a day with demand behind them and no spot on a Top 10 in Spain.

Picks for August 18, 2026

1
Tires
2024 · TV show
- Demand 90 of 100.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
44/100
-2.6 today
2
Lioness
2023 · TV show
- Demand 90 of 100.
- Score up 1.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
43/100
+1.4 today
3
Reacher
2022 · TV show
- Demand 82 of 100.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
Charted 18 days later, Prime Video ES, #1 on September 5, 2026, after the 14-day window. Peak #1, 13 chart days
42/100
-0.2 today
4
Normal
2026 · Movie
- Demand 77, building.
- Score up 5.0 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
45/100
+5.0 today
5
Blue Bloods
2010 · TV show
- Demand 76, building.
- Score up 3.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
38/100
+3.2 today
6
It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia
2005 · TV show
- Demand 75, building.
- Score up 15.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
46/100
+15.4 today
7
Toy Story 5
2026 · Movie
- Demand 71, building.
- Score up 14.5 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
Charted 1 day later, Apple TV+ ES, #2 on August 19, 2026. Peak #2, 17 chart days
46/100
+14.5 today
8
Masters of the Universe
2026 · Movie
- Demand 57, building.
- Score up 15.8 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
38/100
+15.8 today
9
Thor
2011 · Movie
- Demand 47, building.
- Score up 9.0 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
30/100
+9.0 today
10
Coyote vs. Acme
2026 · Movie
- Demand 43, building.
- Score up 10.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in Spain.
No chart in 14 days
31/100
+10.2 today

Track record

	Charted in 14 days	In 30 days	Median lead	All eligible, 14 days	All eligible, 30 days
All picks	8.6% 18 of 210	18% 9 of 50	5 days	3.7% 122 of 3267	7.3% 28 of 385
TV shows	12.4% 13 of 105	24% 6 of 25	6 days	2.2% 50 of 2325	3.8% 10 of 264
Movies	4.8% 5 of 105	12% 3 of 25	4 days	7.6% 72 of 942	14.9% 18 of 121
Random from pool	1.4% 3 of 210	4% 2 of 50	9 days	3.7% 122 of 3267	7.3% 28 of 385

Picks from August 15, 2026 to September 4, 2026, 14-day windows closed. The 30-day columns cover the older picks whose 30-day window has closed too. Two baselines: ten random titles a day from the same pool, and the whole pool. We have to beat both. Movies chart weeks after people start looking, so judge TV and movies apart.

How a title gets here

A pick is on zero Top 10 charts here, has demand of 40 or more from at least two feeds (or one feed plus attention), has been on the list more than a day, and has been off the charts for 30 days. Every eligible title is measured the same way, so the pool column is a fair baseline. A title that is already out on none of the services we track, with nothing scheduled, is left out. Titles landing on a service within 14 days come first. Then shows rank by demand level and movies by score change, fading titles last, and we hold five slots each for movies and shows. Every pick is logged the day we make it, along with ten random titles from the same pool as a control. If a pick charts within 30 days, the chart and date show up next to it. The 14-day rate is the headline. The 30-day rate is for movies, which land on a service weeks after people start looking.

By market

Market	Picks	Charted in 14 days	Random from pool	Whole pool
Worldwide	210	29%	12.9%	17.8%
Australia	210	21.9%	5.7%	8.2%
Canada	210	21.9%	3.8%	9.6%
Germany	210	25.2%	6.7%	9.1%
Spain	210	8.6%	1.4%	3.7%
France	210	22.9%	6.2%	9.2%
United Kingdom	210	27.1%	6.7%	9%
Italy	210	11%	6.7%	5.4%
South Korea	210	0.5%	0%	1.1%
Mexico	210	10%	2.9%	4.6%
Netherlands	210	11.4%	5.7%	5.1%
Turkey	210	0%	0%	0.3%
United States	210	32.4%	8.6%	11.7%
South Africa	210	1.9%	1.9%	1.6%

Closed windows only. Markets with no closed picks are not listed.

View this data in the API

GET /v1/trending/breakouts?scope=ES