Picks for August 21, 2026
Heating up. Not charting yet.
Ten titles a day with demand behind them and no spot on a Top 10 in the United States.
Picks for August 21, 2026
- 1
Ted Lasso
2020 · TV show
- Demand 97 of 100.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 15 days later, Apple TV+ US, #2 on September 5, 2026, after the 14-day window. Peak #1, 13 chart days
46/100
-0.1 today
- 2
Sterling Point
2026 · TV show
- Demand 82 of 100.
- Score up 5.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 15 days later, Prime Video US, #2 on September 5, 2026, after the 14-day window. Peak #2, 13 chart days
43/100
+5.2 today
- 3
Alone
2015 · TV show
- Demand 80 of 100.
- Score up 7.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
43/100
+7.4 today
- 4
Below Deck Down Under
2022 · TV show
- Demand 74, building.
- Score up 3.1 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
38/100
+3.1 today
- 5
Married at First Sight
2014 · TV show
- Demand 73, building.
- Score up 5.9 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 15 days later, Peacock US, #7 on September 5, 2026, after the 14-day window. Peak #7, 4 chart days
47/100
+5.9 today
- 6
Mutiny
2026 · Movie
- Demand 69, building.
- Score up 7.7 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
47/100
+7.7 today
- 7
Pressure
2026 · Movie
- Demand 55, building.
- Score up 13.5 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
39/100
+13.5 today
- 8
Captain America: Civil War
2016 · Movie
- Demand 53, building.
- Score up 8.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 20 days later, Disney+ US, #9 on September 10, 2026, after the 14-day window. Peak #9, 3 chart days
34/100
+8.2 today
- 9
The Dink
2026 · Movie
- Demand 51, building.
- Score up 9.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 15 days later, Apple TV+ US, #3 on September 5, 2026, after the 14-day window. Peak #3, 13 chart days
39/100
+9.2 today
- 10
Arrival
2016 · Movie
- Demand 46, building.
- Score up 9.8 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
32/100
+9.8 today
Track record
| Charted in 14 days | In 30 days | Median lead | All eligible, 14 days | All eligible, 30 days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All picks | 32% 64 of 200 | 32.5% 13 of 40 | 7 days | 11.5% 304 of 2648 | 20% 44 of 220 |
| TV shows | 48% 48 of 100 | 50% 10 of 20 | 8 days | 10.9% 220 of 2023 | 21.1% 34 of 161 |
| Movies | 16% 16 of 100 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5 days | 13.4% 84 of 625 | 16.9% 10 of 59 |
| Random from pool | 8% 16 of 200 | 20% 8 of 40 | 8 days | 11.5% 304 of 2648 | 20% 44 of 220 |
Picks from August 15, 2026 to September 3, 2026, 14-day windows closed. The 30-day columns cover the older picks whose 30-day window has closed too. Two baselines: ten random titles a day from the same pool, and the whole pool. We have to beat both. Movies chart weeks after people start looking, so judge TV and movies apart.
How a title gets here
A pick is on zero Top 10 charts here, has demand of 40 or more from at least two feeds (or one feed plus attention), has been on the list more than a day, and has been off the charts for 30 days. Every eligible title is measured the same way, so the pool column is a fair baseline. A title that is already out on none of the services we track, with nothing scheduled, is left out. Titles landing on a service within 14 days come first. Then shows rank by demand level and movies by score change, fading titles last, and we hold five slots each for movies and shows. Every pick is logged the day we make it, along with ten random titles from the same pool as a control. If a pick charts within 30 days, the chart and date show up next to it. The 14-day rate is the headline. The 30-day rate is for movies, which land on a service weeks after people start looking.
By market
| Market | Picks | Charted in 14 days | Random from pool | Whole pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worldwide | 200 | 29.5% | 11.5% | 17.8% |
| Australia | 200 | 22% | 6% | 8.1% |
| Canada | 200 | 22% | 4% | 9.4% |
| Germany | 200 | 25.5% | 7% | 8.9% |
| Spain | 200 | 8.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% |
| France | 200 | 23% | 6% | 9.1% |
| United Kingdom | 200 | 27.5% | 7% | 8.9% |
| Italy | 200 | 11% | 7% | 5.4% |
| South Korea | 200 | 0.5% | 0% | 1.1% |
| Mexico | 200 | 10% | 2.5% | 4.6% |
| Netherlands | 200 | 11.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Turkey | 200 | 0% | 0% | 0.3% |
| United States | 200 | 32% | 8% | 11.5% |
| South Africa | 200 | 2% | 2% | 1.7% |
Closed windows only. Markets with no closed picks are not listed.
View this data in the API
GET /v1/trending/breakouts?scope=US