Picks for August 22, 2026

Heating up. Not charting yet.

Ten titles a day with demand behind them and no spot on a Top 10 in the United States.

Picks for August 22, 2026

1
Ted Lasso
2020 · TV show
- Demand 96 of 100.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 14 days later, Apple TV+ US, #2 on September 5, 2026. Peak #1, 13 chart days
44/100
-1.7 today
2
Lucky
2026 · TV show
- Demand 85 of 100.
- Score up 10.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 14 days later, Apple TV+ US, #7 on September 5, 2026. Peak #6, 13 chart days
45/100
+10.4 today
3
Silo
2023 · TV show
- Demand 81 of 100.
- Score up 2.2 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 14 days later, Apple TV+ US, #1 on September 5, 2026. Peak #1, 13 chart days
44/100
+2.2 today
4
Sterling Point
2026 · TV show
- Demand 79, building.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 14 days later, Prime Video US, #2 on September 5, 2026. Peak #2, 13 chart days
39/100
-3.9 today
5
Widow's Bay
2026 · TV show
- Demand 75, building.
- Score up 6.9 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 14 days later, Apple TV+ US, #6 on September 5, 2026. Peak #2, 13 chart days
42/100
+6.9 today
6
Project Hail Mary
2026 · Movie
- Demand 68, building.
- Score up 5.9 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
Charted 14 days later, Prime Video US, #9 on September 5, 2026. Peak #8, 9 chart days
39/100
+5.9 today
7
The Dog Stars
2026 · Movie
- Demand 55, building.
- Score up 11.4 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
43/100
+11.4 today
8
Captain America: Brave New World
2025 · Movie
- Demand 50, building.
- Score up 10.3 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
36/100
+10.3 today
9
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle
2025 · Movie
- Demand 50, building.
- Score up 9.6 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
41/100
+9.6 today
10
It Ends
2026 · Movie
- Demand 50, building.
- Score up 4.0 today.
- On no Top 10 in United States.
No chart in 14 days
40/100
+4.0 today

Track record

	Charted in 14 days	In 30 days	Median lead	All eligible, 14 days	All eligible, 30 days
All picks	32% 64 of 200	32.5% 13 of 40	7 days	11.5% 304 of 2648	20% 44 of 220
TV shows	48% 48 of 100	50% 10 of 20	8 days	10.9% 220 of 2023	21.1% 34 of 161
Movies	16% 16 of 100	15% 3 of 20	5 days	13.4% 84 of 625	16.9% 10 of 59
Random from pool	8% 16 of 200	20% 8 of 40	8 days	11.5% 304 of 2648	20% 44 of 220

Picks from August 15, 2026 to September 3, 2026, 14-day windows closed. The 30-day columns cover the older picks whose 30-day window has closed too. Two baselines: ten random titles a day from the same pool, and the whole pool. We have to beat both. Movies chart weeks after people start looking, so judge TV and movies apart.

How a title gets here

A pick is on zero Top 10 charts here, has demand of 40 or more from at least two feeds (or one feed plus attention), has been on the list more than a day, and has been off the charts for 30 days. Every eligible title is measured the same way, so the pool column is a fair baseline. A title that is already out on none of the services we track, with nothing scheduled, is left out. Titles landing on a service within 14 days come first. Then shows rank by demand level and movies by score change, fading titles last, and we hold five slots each for movies and shows. Every pick is logged the day we make it, along with ten random titles from the same pool as a control. If a pick charts within 30 days, the chart and date show up next to it. The 14-day rate is the headline. The 30-day rate is for movies, which land on a service weeks after people start looking.

By market

Market	Picks	Charted in 14 days	Random from pool	Whole pool
Worldwide	200	29.5%	11.5%	17.8%
Australia	200	22%	6%	8.1%
Canada	200	22%	4%	9.4%
Germany	200	25.5%	7%	8.9%
Spain	200	8.5%	1.5%	3.7%
France	200	23%	6%	9.1%
United Kingdom	200	27.5%	7%	8.9%
Italy	200	11%	7%	5.4%
South Korea	200	0.5%	0%	1.1%
Mexico	200	10%	2.5%	4.6%
Netherlands	200	11.5%	5.5%	5.1%
Turkey	200	0%	0%	0.3%
United States	200	32%	8%	11.5%
South Africa	200	2%	2%	1.7%

Closed windows only. Markets with no closed picks are not listed.

View this data in the API

GET /v1/trending/breakouts?scope=US